Treasurer
Candidates
Elijah Norton on X (opens in a new tab)
Republican
Polls
Polling average
Mansour +3.7
Uncertainty range: Mansour −6.0 to +13.3 (±9.7). Either candidate could be ahead.
- Nick Mansour (D)45.6%
- Elijah Norton (R)41.9%
- Undecided12.0%
Weighted average of 2 verified polls from the last 45 days, one per pollster.
Polling average margin over time. Latest: Mansour ahead by 3.7 points.
↓ Norton ahead
Line: average margin. Shaded: uncertainty range.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Mansour | Norton | Und. | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround, Inc.Nonpartisan: HighGround Public Affairs (self-funded) | Oct 21–Oct 25 | 400 LV | 46.8 | 40.5 | — | 69% |
| GrayHouseCampaign: Friends of Elijah Norton (R candidate for Treasurer) · half weight | Oct 18–Oct 20 | 550 LV | 43 | 45 | 12 | 31% |
Verified polls not in the average (2)
- GrayHouse, 2026-10-08: Pollster has a newer poll
- HighGround, Inc., 2026-10-08: Pollster has a newer poll
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot doesn't publish a forecast for this race.
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Norton has outraised Mansour, $4.43M to $1.51M.
Norton has outspent Mansour, $4.35M to $930K.
- Nick Mansour (D)See The Money #101897
- Raised
- $1.51M
- Spent
- $930K
- Cash
- $584K
- Elijah Norton (R)See The Money #101861
- Raised
- $4.43M
- Spent
- $4.35M
- Cash
- $46K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Mansour | $4.5K | $78K |
| Norton | $18K | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated