State House · LD29
Candidates
Steve Montenegro on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Christine Scianna
Democrat
James Taylor (incumbent)
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- R+19.4
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Republicans win both seats93%
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats7%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Montenegro has outraised Scianna, $280K to $61K.
Most spent: Montenegro ($46K), then Scianna ($40K).
- Steve Montenegro (R)See The Money #100932
- Raised
- $280K
- Spent
- $46K
- Cash
- $392K
- Christine Scianna (D)See The Money #101950
- Raised
- $61K
- Spent
- $40K
- Cash
- $21K
- James Taylor (R)See The Money #101662
- Raised
- $18K
- Spent
- $9K
- Cash
- $11K
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated