State Senate · LD27
Candidates
Kevin Payne on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2022 State Senate result (one major party ran in 2024)
- R+10.3
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Payne95%
- Clayton5%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Payne has outraised Clayton, $94K to $55K.
Payne has outspent Clayton, $107K to $16K.
- Kyle Clayton (D)See The Money #102045
- Raised
- $55K
- Spent
- $16K
- Cash
- $35K
- Kevin Payne (R)See The Money #100069
- Raised
- $94K
- Spent
- $107K
- Cash
- $39K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton | $261 | $0 |
| Payne | $52K | $48K |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.
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