State House · LD25
Candidates
Tiffany Byrne
Democrat
Michael Carbone on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Nick Kupper on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- R+24.4
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Republicans win both seats96%
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats5%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Carbone ($128K), then Byrne ($61K).
Most spent: Byrne ($42K), then Carbone ($33K).
- Tiffany Byrne (D)See The Money #102055
- Raised
- $61K
- Spent
- $42K
- Cash
- $20K
- Michael Carbone (R)See The Money #101126
- Raised
- $128K
- Spent
- $33K
- Cash
- $132K
- Nick Kupper (R)See The Money #101504
- Raised
- $44K
- Spent
- $9.1K
- Cash
- $40K
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
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