State Senate · LD24
Candidates
Analise Ortiz on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Frank Steele
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- District lean, 9 statewide races 2016-2020 (Redistricting Commission; one major party ran in 2022 and 2024)
- D+33.5
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Ortiz99%
- Steele1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Ortiz ($168K), then Steele ($1.7K).
Most spent: Ortiz ($144K), then Steele ($0).
- Analise Ortiz (D)See The Money #100884
- Raised
- $168K
- Spent
- $144K
- Cash
- $34K
- Frank Steele (R)See The Money #102084
- Raised
- $1.7K
- Spent
- $0
- Cash
- $1.7K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Ortiz | $12K | $0 |
| Steele | $0 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated