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Copper State Count

State House · LD24

Candidates

Polls

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

Rating
Pending source
District lean, 9 statewide races 2016-2020 (Redistricting Commission; one major party ran in 2022 and 2024)
D+33.5
Registration
Pending source

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

Forecast model

FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.

  • Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
  • Republicans win both seats<1%

Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST

Prediction markets

No prediction market is tracking this race.

Campaign money

Flores has outraised Arescurenaga, $51K to $50K.

Arescurenaga has outspent Flores, $41K to $34K.

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

CandidateForAgainst
Arescurenaga$27K$0
Flores$27K$0
McLaughlin$0$0

Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

About these numbers

Last updated