State House · LD21
Candidates
Consuelo Hernandez (incumbent)
Democrat
Christopher Kibbey
Republican
Miranda Lopez
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- D+17.5
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
- Republicans win both seats<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Hernandez has outraised Lopez, $198K to $37K.
Hernandez has outspent Lopez, $196K to $34K.
- Consuelo Hernandez (D)See The Money #100940
- Raised
- $198K
- Spent
- $196K
- Cash
- $3.5K
- Christopher Kibbey (R)See The Money #101599
- Raised
- $1.5K
- Spent
- $780
- Cash
- $1.4K
- Miranda Lopez (D)See The Money #102092
- Raised
- $37K
- Spent
- $34K
- Cash
- $3.2K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Hernandez | $107K | $0 |
| Kibbey | $0 | $0 |
| Lopez | $5K | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated