State House · LD19
Candidates
Jackie Anderson
Democrat
Lupe Diaz on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
David Gowan on X (opens in a new tab)
Republican
Aiden Swallow
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- R+21.3
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Republicans win both seats99%
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Gowan ($133K), then Diaz ($67K).
Most spent: Gowan ($127K), then Diaz ($62K).
- Jackie Anderson (D)See The Money #101953
- Raised
- $60K
- Spent
- $27K
- Cash
- $31K
- Lupe Diaz (R)See The Money #100805
- Raised
- $67K
- Spent
- $62K
- Cash
- $27K
- David Gowan (R)See The Money #201800010
- Raised
- $133K
- Spent
- $127K
- Cash
- $247K
- Aiden Swallow (D)See The Money #101913
- Raised
- $38K
- Spent
- $25K
- Cash
- $12K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Anderson | $0 | $0 |
| Diaz | $31K | $0 |
| Gowan | $31K | $0 |
| Swallow | $0 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated