State House · LD18
Candidates
Bob Dohse
Republican
Nancy Gutierrez (incumbent)
Democrat
Chris Mathis on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- D+20.0
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
- Republicans win both seats<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Gutierrez ($56K), then Mathis ($48K).
Most spent: Mathis ($60K), then Gutierrez ($20K).
- Bob Dohse (R)See The Money #101892
- Raised
- $36K
- Spent
- $6.9K
- Cash
- $29K
- Nancy Gutierrez (D)See The Money #100900
- Raised
- $56K
- Spent
- $20K
- Cash
- $3.4K
- Chris Mathis (D)See The Money #100581
- Raised
- $48K
- Spent
- $60K
- Cash
- $1.7K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Dohse | $0 | $0 |
| Gutierrez | $261 | $0 |
| Mathis | $0 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.
Last updated