State Senate · LD15
Candidates
Jayme Accalia
Democrat
Jake Hoffman on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State Senate result
- R+31.9
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Hoffman>99%
- Accalia<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Accalia ($2.3K), then Hoffman (−$42K).
Hoffman has outspent Accalia, $6.6K to $1K.
- Jayme Accalia (D)See The Money #102162
- Raised
- $2.3K
- Spent
- $1K
- Cash
- $1.3K
- Jake Hoffman (R)See The Money #100048
- Raised
- −$42K
- Spent
- $6.6K
- Cash
- $30K
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.
Last updated