State House · LD14
Candidates
Tyler Farnsworth on X (opens in a new tab)
Republican
Laurin Hendrix (incumbent)
Republican
Mary Rose on X (opens in a new tab)
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2022 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican (one major party ran in 2024)
- R+13.4
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Republicans win both seats93%
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats7%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Hendrix ($85K), then Rose ($59K).
Most spent: Hendrix ($90K), then Rose ($35K).
- Tyler Farnsworth (R)See The Money #102156
- Raised
- $33K
- Spent
- $17K
- Cash
- $16K
- Laurin Hendrix (R)See The Money #101013
- Raised
- $85K
- Spent
- $90K
- Cash
- $4.5K
- Mary Rose (D)See The Money #101918
- Raised
- $59K
- Spent
- $35K
- Cash
- $25K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Farnsworth | $26K | $0 |
| Hendrix | $29K | $0 |
| Rose | $493 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.
Last updated