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Copper State Count

State House · LD13

Open seat2 seats: the top 2 vote-getters win2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican: R+4.4

Chandler

Both House seats are open. Republicans swept the district in 2024. Source: Triadvocates Navigator (Sept. 16, 2026) and local reporting.

Candidates

Polls

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

Rating
Pending source
2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
R+4.4
Registration
Pending source

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

Forecast model

FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.

  • Republicans win both seats56%
  • Democrats win at least one of the two seats44%

Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST

Prediction markets

No prediction market is tracking this race.

Campaign money

Most raised: Armstrong ($303K), then Hartke ($253K).

Most spent: Armstrong ($243K), then Weinberg ($97K).

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

CandidateForAgainst
Armstrong$129K$230K
Hartke$296K$548K
Weinberg$100K$244K
Weninger$300K$336K

Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

About these numbers

Last updated