State House · LD12
Candidates
David Richardson
Republican
Stacey Travers on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- D+13.8
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
- Republicans win both seats<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Travers ($68K), then Montero ($65K).
Most spent: Richardson ($36K), then Montero ($21K).
- Armando Montero (D)See The Money #101994
- Raised
- $65K
- Spent
- $21K
- Cash
- $42K
- David Richardson (R)See The Money #102037
- Raised
- $61K
- Spent
- $36K
- Cash
- $25K
- Stacey Travers (D)See The Money #100827
- Raised
- $68K
- Spent
- $15K
- Cash
- $105K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Montero | $0 | $0 |
| Richardson | $9.6K | $0 |
| Travers | $0 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated