State Senate · LD11
Candidates
Joshua Ayala
Republican
Catherine H. Miranda on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State Senate result
- D+44.3
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Miranda>99%
- Ayala<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Miranda has outraised Ayala, $59K to $58K.
Miranda has outspent Ayala, $64K to $58K.
- Joshua Ayala (R)See The Money #101675
- Raised
- $58K
- Spent
- $58K
- Cash
- $18
- Catherine H. Miranda (D)See The Money #100998
- Raised
- $59K
- Spent
- $64K
- Cash
- $29K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Ayala | $0 | $0 |
| Miranda | $250 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.
Last updated