State Senate · LD10
Candidates
David Farnsworth on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Nick Fierro on X (opens in a new tab)
Independent
Blair Moses
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State Senate result
- R+23.0
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Farnsworth98%
- Moses2%
The model sets the Democrat against the Republican; other candidates aren't modelled.
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Moses ($64K), then Farnsworth ($22K).
Moses has outspent Fierro, $51K to $12K.
- David Farnsworth (R)See The Money #100966
- Raised
- $22K
- Spent
- $4.3K
- Cash
- $26K
- Nick Fierro (I)See The Money #100371
- Raised
- $14K
- Spent
- $12K
- Cash
- $505
- Blair Moses (D)See The Money #102054
- Raised
- $64K
- Spent
- $51K
- Cash
- $13K
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
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