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Copper State Count

State Senate · LD9

West Mesa

Republicans have a slight registration edge. The Independent Redistricting Commission's measure gives Democrats about a 2.6-point advantage. Sears was appointed after Eva Burch resigned in 2025. Source: Triadvocates Navigator (Sept. 16, 2026) and local reporting.

Candidates

Polls

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

Rating
Pending source
2024 State Senate result
D+3.5
Registration
Pending source

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

Forecast model

FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.

  • Sears91%
  • Fitzgibbons9%

Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST

Prediction markets

No prediction market is tracking this race.

Campaign money

Fitzgibbons has outraised Sears, $253K to $184K.

Sears has outspent Fitzgibbons, $89K to $60K.

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

CandidateForAgainst
Fitzgibbons$67K$6K
Sears$51K$98K

Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

About these numbers

Last updated