State House · LD9
West Mesa
One Republican is on the ballot for two House seats. Source: Triadvocates Navigator (Sept. 16, 2026) and local reporting.
Candidates
Lorena Austin on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Brad Bettencourt
Republican
Jacob Martinez on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- D+4.2
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
- Republicans win both seats<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Most raised: Martinez ($204K), then Austin ($136K).
Most spent: Martinez ($129K), then Bettencourt ($65K).
- Lorena Austin (D)See The Money #100958
- Raised
- $136K
- Spent
- $61K
- Cash
- $102K
- Brad Bettencourt (R)See The Money #101914
- Raised
- $98K
- Spent
- $65K
- Cash
- $33K
- Jacob Martinez (D)See The Money #102044
- Raised
- $204K
- Spent
- $129K
- Cash
- $63K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Austin | $29K | $131K |
| Bettencourt | $302K | $2.3K |
| Martinez | $39K | $158K |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated