State House · LD8
Candidates
Janeen Connolly on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Brian Garcia on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Donald Hawker
Republican
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2024 State House, top Democrat vs. top Republican
- D+16.5
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Democrats win at least one of the two seats>99%
- Republicans win both seats<1%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Garcia has outraised Connolly, $63K to $56K.
Connolly has outspent Garcia, $51K to $29K.
- Janeen Connolly (D)See The Money #101433
- Raised
- $56K
- Spent
- $51K
- Cash
- $43K
- Brian Garcia (D)See The Money #101656
- Raised
- $63K
- Spent
- $29K
- Cash
- $34K
- Donald Hawker (R)See The Money #102197
- Raised
- $1.1K
- Spent
- $110
- Cash
- $780
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Connolly | $26K | $0 |
| Garcia | $37K | $0 |
| Hawker | $0 | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
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