State Senate · LD3
Candidates
John Kavanagh on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Write-in: Frank Bertone
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- Rating
- Pending source
- 2022 State Senate result (one major party ran in 2024)
- R+26.4
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Kavanagh97%
- Fortney3%
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 30, 11:31 PM MST
Prediction markets
No prediction market is tracking this race.
Campaign money
Kavanagh has outraised Fortney, $154K to $64K.
Kavanagh has outspent Fortney, $85K to $49K.
- Jeff Fortney (D)See The Money #101954
- Raised
- $64K
- Spent
- $49K
- Cash
- $14K
- John Kavanagh (R)See The Money #101979
- Raised
- $154K
- Spent
- $85K
- Cash
- $70K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Fortney | $1.3K | $0 |
| Kavanagh | $47K | $0 |
Reports filed with the Arizona Secretary of State for 2025–26. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
Last updated