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Copper State Count

U.S. House · CD8

Candidates

Polls

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

2024 U.S. House result
R+13.0
Registration
Pending source

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

Forecast model

FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.

  • Hamadeh96%
  • Greene-Placentia4%

Rating: Safe R · Expected margin: R+9.9

Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 31, 12:04 AM MST

Prediction markets

Market price = implied probability. It's what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

  • Greene-Placentia14%
  • Hamadeh87%

13K contracts traded · as of 3:30:01 PM MST

Implied probability over timeOct 26 – Oct 31

How we read markets

Campaign money

Hamadeh has outraised Greene-Placentia, $1.43M to $373K.

Most spent: Hamadeh ($1.28M), then Greene-Placentia ($29K).

  • Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)FEC filing
    Raised
    $373K
    Spent
    $29K
    Cash
    $153K
  • Abe Hamadeh (R)FEC filing
    Raised
    $1.43M
    Spent
    $1.28M
    Cash
    $187K

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

CandidateForAgainst
Greene-Placentia$2.2K$0
Hamadeh$0$0

FEC reports for the 2025–26 cycle, through Oct 14. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

About these numbers

Last updated