U.S. House · CD5

Open seat

Candidates

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.

Rating: Safe R · Expected margin: R+11.8

Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 31, 12:04 AM MST

Market price = implied probability. It's what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

Kalshi

29K contracts traded · as of 3:30:01 PM MST

Implied probability over timeOct 26 – Oct 31

Lamb has outraised Lee, $1.77M to $376K.

Lamb has outspent Lee, $1.59M to $251K.

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

Candidate	For	Against
Lamb	$348K	$0
Lee	$0	$0

FEC reports for the 2025–26 cycle, through Oct 14. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

Last updated 3:30:06 PM MST