U.S. House · CD4
Candidates
Tisha Benoit
No Labels
Zuhdi Jasser on X (opens in a new tab)
Republican
Greg Stanton on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Democrat
Write-in: Steven Sanders
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- 2024 U.S. House result
- D+7.3
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Stanton>99%
- Jasser<1%
Rating: Safe D · Expected margin: D+21.6
The model sets the Democrat against the Republican; other candidates aren't modelled.
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 31, 12:04 AM MST
Prediction markets
Market price = implied probability. It's what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
Campaign money
Stanton has outraised Jasser, $2.67M to $744K.
Stanton has outspent Jasser, $1.77M to $655K.
- Tisha Benoit (NL)No filing found
- Zuhdi Jasser (R)FEC filing
- Raised
- $744K
- Spent
- $655K
- Cash
- $90K
- Greg Stanton (D)FEC filing
- Raised
- $2.67M
- Spent
- $1.77M
- Cash
- $1.92M
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Jasser | $0 | $0 |
| Stanton | $423K | $0 |
FEC reports for the 2025–26 cycle, through Oct 14. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
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