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Copper State Count

U.S. House · CD3

Candidates

Write-in: Jacob Parkman

Polls

Not enough polling

No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?

2024 U.S. House result
D+44.4
Registration
Pending source

Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works

Forecast model

FutureBallot doesn't publish a forecast for this race.

Prediction markets

Market price = implied probability. It's what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

Kalshi has a market on this race, but it's too thin to show (under 1,000 traded, or a bid-ask gap over 10¢). See it on Kalshi.

How we read markets

Campaign money

Most raised: Ansari ($1.7M), then Aversa ($774).

Most spent: Ansari ($1.3M), then Aversa ($991).

  • Yassamin Ansari (D)FEC filing
    Raised
    $1.7M
    Spent
    $1.3M
    Cash
    $411K
  • Alan Aversa (NL)FEC filing
    Raised
    $774
    Spent
    $991
    Cash
    $256
  • David Redkey (G)FEC filing
    Raised
    $0
    Spent
    $0
    Cash
    $0

Outside spending

Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.

CandidateForAgainst
Ansari$3.4K$0
Aversa$0$0
Redkey$0$0

FEC reports for the 2025–26 cycle, through Oct 14. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.

Spending can top this cycle's fundraising when a campaign started the cycle with cash on hand.

About these numbers

Last updated