U.S. House · CD2
Candidates
Eli Crane on X (opens in a new tab) (incumbent)
Republican
Curtis Goodwin
Libertarian
Polls
Not enough polling
No verified polls from the last 45 days. We show an average only with at least 2. Why?
- 2024 U.S. House result
- R+9.0
- Registration
- Pending source
Polls are entered by hand from each pollster's release and checked against the source before they count. How the average works
Forecast model
FutureBallot's model, not ours: a chance of winning from polls, past results and campaign money. We never call races.
- Crane77%
- Nez23%
Rating: Lean R · Expected margin: R+3.9
The model sets the Democrat against the Republican; other candidates aren't modelled.
Source: FutureBallot · forecast of Oct 31, 12:04 AM MST
Prediction markets
Market price = implied probability. It's what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
Solid: Kalshi. Dashed: Polymarket.
Campaign money
Crane has outraised Nez, $11.9M to $5.81M.
Crane has outspent Nez, $10.9M to $5.36M.
- Eli Crane (R)FEC filing
- Raised
- $11.9M
- Spent
- $10.9M
- Cash
- $1.35M
- Curtis Goodwin (L)No filing found
- Jonathan Nez (D)FEC filing
- Raised
- $5.81M
- Spent
- $5.36M
- Cash
- $506K
Outside spending
Independent expenditures by groups not controlled by any campaign, reported as for or against each candidate.
| Candidate | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Crane | $589K | $930K |
| Nez | $106K | $111K |
FEC reports for the 2025–26 cycle, through Oct 14. Retrieved Oct 31, 6:09 AM MST.
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